Saturday, November 7, 2015

Carpio likes to carp, but everything normal on the South China Sea

Carpio likes to carp, but everything normal on the South China Sea Daily News Briefs/Analysis

Carpio has been carping about the what a “disaster” it would be for the Philippines if any of the presidential candidates would upon winning withdraw the country’s case at the Permanent Court of Arbitration against China’s claims over disputed islands and sea formations. Carpio wants the issue to be raised for the candidates to address at the Comelec sponsored debates, obviously to pressure all candidates to commit to a position of pursuing the case through the next administration.

But the case doesn’t have to be withdrawn as it will eventually gather corals over time naturally, China will never engage the court on the issue and there’s no way to enforce anything that it may decide. It is irrelevant. Carpio himself in an interview with Jessica Soho on GMA said that it would take up to “three generations” and it may not still be resolved. To that Jessica Soho innocently and wisely reacted, “But there would be nothing left for the Philippines by that time!?”

Not only will there be nothing left for the Philippines under those circumstances but it’ll be losing hundreds of billions in economic benefits in engagement with China which all other nations of Asean, including Vietnam, and the World including the cousins of the American in the U.K. and across the Atlantic in France, are taking advantage of even as Carpio continues his carping against China and serious, constructive Philippine engagement with China.

First of all, let’s look at the flurry of diplomatic and economic feathers on the cap of China’s President Xi Jing Ping in just over a week of surprise “pow-wows” with the numerous significant countries on the World’s geopolitical and economic stage, consider the following developments :

President Xi meets Vietnam's National Assembly Chairman
11-06-2015 21:47 BJT…
Chairman Nguyen Sinh Hung welcomed President Xi's visit, adding that Vietnam would always remember the help China had offered during the revolutionary and socialist construction period. He said Vietnam looks forward to promoting a comprehensive strategic partnership of cooperation with China, and is willing to see China play a more important role in international affairs.

HANOI, Nov. 5 (Xinhua) -- The upcoming visit of General Secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) and Chinese President Xi Jinping to Vietnam will mark a milestone in the relations between the two parties and the two countries, a senior official of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV) has said.
Hoang Binh Quan, head of the CPV Central Committee's Commission for External Relations, made the remarks in a recent interview with Xinhua and other Chinese media stationed in Hanoi.

China, Singapore agree to lift ties, upgrade FTA | 2015-11-06 21:53:27 | Editor: Song Miou
…(Xi said) the success of two existing government-to-government projects, and the proposed third project in Chongqing will all inject fresh momentum into bilateral ties, …. The Chongqing project will support the Belt and Road Initiative, proposed by Xi in 2013 to revive the ancient trade routes that span Asia, Africa and Europe, and provide a springboard to propel bilateral ties to a new level in the next 25 years, he added…
Tan (Singapore president, Tony Keng Yam) also said the China-Singapore FTA upgrade, once sealed, will serve as a pathfinder for the two countries' participation in regional economic frameworks, such as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), as well as for an upgrade of the ASEAN-China FTA…

And then the Ma-Xi-mum success of the Xi-Ma (Taiwan president) meeting which, at this writing on November 7, 10:57am Manila Time should be just about to begin. We don’t know yet what will be transpiring in the talk but the meeting of the two brothers already signals victory over the age old conflict. AT this point the important matter for the Philippines to  ponder is this article from a professor of Taiwan National University, SHIH CHIH-YU with a most instructive titlefor pro-American Filipinos:

“Why US is supporting Xi-Ma meeting”
By SHIH CHIH-YU (China Daily)Updated: 2015-11-06 08:02
…. A rare occasion on which Xi Jinping, Barack Obama and Ma Ying-jeou agree is about to take place in Singapore, as the meeting between Xi and Ma is intended to balance the growing "independence" sentiment in Taiwan, something that is bothering all three political leaders; …
 This brings us to the key questionWhy has Washington appeared more enthusiastic than expected toward the cross-Straits meeting?...
But the real rationale behind Washington's support of the meeting coincides with that of Beijing, namely, to balance the growing "pro-independence" atmosphere in Taiwan. This is prerequisite to the realization that some check on Taiwan "independence" is wise…
This is important for Washington because once the "pro-independence" mood gets too excited the situation could develop to a level that Beijing can no longer tolerate. This would mean the involvement of Washington in an unnecessary confrontation at a point not of its own choosing. In short, the rationale for Washington to support the meeting is to bring stability to the cross-Straits situation after those in favor of "independence" come to power….

And then there’s Xi and China’s economic blitzkrieg all over the World and the  “One Belt, One Road”:

France and China signed an industrial cooperation agreement on nuclear waste recycling that could be worth 20 billion euros ($22 billion), with about half of the market for Areva SA, according to the French government. Areva shares rose….

Three Japanese business-promotion agencies signed a cooperation memorandum in Beijing on Monday with the China Council…

And the U.S. Defence Secretary Ashton Carter’s Popeye stunt on board the aircraft carrier Theodore Roosevelt, but as I wrote in our “Frolicking on the South China Sea” last October 28, 2015 blog, “ The frolicking of these two navies may be a prolonged dance over the next months and years.  And it is something that Asia and ASEAN will have to get used to in no time at all.” – HTL, 11-7-2015. See this news item:

'Hope to see you again': China warship to U.S. destroyer after South China Sea patrol
Read more at Reuters
As soon as the guided-missile destroyer USS Lassen breached 12-nautical-mile territorial limits around one of China's man-made islands in the disputed South China Sea last week, a Chinese warship shadowing its movements began demanding answers.
"'Hey, you are in Chinese waters. What is your intention?'," it asked, as recounted to reporters on Thursday by Commander Robert Francis, commanding officer of the Lassen….
Every day a U.S. ship is down here, we interact with the Chinese," Francis said… at any given time,… encounters with U.S. warships are likely to increase…
The Chinese destroyer shadowed the Lassen for 10 days before and after its Oct. 27 patrol …. The Lassen got to within six to seven nautical miles from the nearest Chinese land formation….
But not all U.S.-Chinese naval interactions are tense, especially when things are slow on the high seas.
"A few weeks ago we were talking to one of the ships that was accompanying us, a Chinese vessel ... (We) picked up the phone and just talked to him like, 'Hey, what are you guys doing this Saturday? Oh, we got pizza and wings. What are you guys eating? Oh, we're doing this. Hey, we're planning for Halloween as well'." The intent, Francis said, is "to show them ... that we're normal sailors, just like them, have families, just like them."
The Chinese sailors, speaking in English, responded by talking about where they were from, their families and places they have visited, Francis said….
"It's another day in the South China Sea. All of it is professional," he said.
(Editing by Dean Yates and Will Waterman/HTL)

On the domestic scene, here’s a vital piece of insight on the shenanigans of the Comelec and its third Con-missioner Bautista (after Melo and Brillantes), from the exchange of Information Technology experts that cc. me their discussion:

arnold villasanta
5:45 PM (17 hours ago)
“to lito, Edelros, Toti, Belinda, Gus, Jaime, roger, Corazon, Leo, evi, Eric, Felix, Pablo, Nelson,
 dbdonato, avalaw, Antonio, Glenn, Melchor, lente, Broderick, Mon, Col, Carlos, Carmen
IMHO, if COMELEC has a GUIDELINE for securing the biometrics, then that is the WORST:

“On election day, there will be a computerized voters’ list. The voters’ picture, the photo of the voters’ signatures as well as their fingerprints will all be in the hard copy,” he said.

Well said... what is the purpose of the fingerprint hardcopy?    
For hackers to digitised it again using highres scanner (if hardcopy is highres as well) and have their own database of biometrics at their disposal.
(why not scan the digitized handwritten signature as well).

Foolish to create hardcopy of sensitive data...  the worst ever.

What are the penalties and/or judicial liabilities if COMELEC violated  RA10173 and Section 9.  Database Security?”


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